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China's Rise and Structural Adjustment in NIEs and ASEAN -Competitors or Complements-

Matthew Poggi
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Matthew Poggi: Bank of Japan

No 05-E-1, Bank of Japan Review Series from Bank of Japan

Abstract: China's economic rise has led to an increase in demand for NIEs and ASEAN exports, but has also increased competition for these countries' exports to third countries. It has also generated the side effect of industrial structural reform. It is, however, difficult to quantify the extent to which China acts like a competitor towards NIEs and ASEAN with respect to trade and the degree to which industrial structural adjustment has taken place. This article tries to give some insight on these issues by analyzing detailed trade data. In addition, export functions for the NIEs and ASEAN countries are estimated to determine whether China's growing global presence is having an adverse or beneficial impact on neighboring countries' export performances.

Date: 2005-06
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