Background to the High Level of Banknotes in Circulation and Demand Deposits

Akira Otani and Takashi Suzuki
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Akira Otani: Bank of Japan
Takashi Suzuki: Bank of Japan

No 08-E-5, Bank of Japan Review Series from Bank of Japan

Abstract: Banknotes and demand deposits have exhibited high growth since the late 1990s, and remain at historically high levels. We examine the background to these developments by using available data such as the volume of banknotes in circulation by denomination and the volume of demand deposits by depositor age. We find the main reason for the growth in banknotes and demand deposits is an increase in "non-transaction demand" for savings and other purposes by the household sector, especially by the elderly. Moreover, as for the outlook, as long as changes in interest rates remain limited, the amounts of banknotes in circulation and demand deposits are likely to remain high because the holding behavior of the elderly will probably remain unchanged. We should note, however, that any changes in the sensitivity of the elderly to interest rates may alter their choice of financial assets.

Date: 2008-09
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