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The fuzzy value of patent litigation under imprecise information

Elettra Agliardi

Working Papers from Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna

Abstract: The vague notion of "probabilistic patents" is formalized through a model whichcombines real option theory and a fuzzy methodology. The imprecise estimates the patent holder possesses about her future profits, the validity and scope of the patent, the litigation costs, the court's decision etc. under a regime of imperfect enforcement of property rights are specified modelling uncertainty with fuzzy sets. Such methodology is embedded within a real option approach, where the value of a patent includes the option value of litigation. We study how the value of a patent is affected by the timing and incidence of litigation. The main results are compared with the empirical findings of previous results.

Date: 2009-09
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cta, nep-ino, nep-ipr, nep-pr~ and nep-upt
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