Robust identification conditions for determinate and indeterminate linear rational expectations models

Luca Fanelli ()

No 1, Quaderni di Dipartimento from Department of Statistics, University of Bologna

Abstract: It is known that the identifiability of the structural parameters of the class of Linear(ized) Rational Expectations (LRE) models currently used in monetary policy and business cycle analysis may change dramatically across different regions of the theoretically admissible parameter space. This paper derives novel necessary and sufficient conditions for local identifiability which hold irrespective of whether the LRE model as a determinate (unique stable) reduced form solution or indeterminate (multiple stable) reduced form solutions. These conditions can be interpreted as prerequisite for the likelihood-based (classical or Bayesian) empirical investigation of determinacy/indeterminacy in stationary LRE models and are particular useful for the joint estimation of the Euler equations comprising the LRE model by `limited-information' methods because checking their validity does not require the knowledge of the full set of reduced form solutions.

Keywords: Determinacy; Identification; Indeterminacy; Linear Rational Expectations model (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 26
Date: 2011
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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