Modelling Poverty by not Modelling Poverty: An Application of a Simultaneous Hazards Approach to the UK

Arnstein Aassve, Simon Burgess (), Matt Dickson and Carol Propper

The Centre for Market and Public Organisation from The Centre for Market and Public Organisation, University of Bristol, UK

Abstract: We pursue an economic approach to analysing poverty. This requires a focus on the variables that individuals can influence, such as forming or dissolving a union or having children. We argue that this indirect approach to modelling poverty is the right way to bring economic tools to bear on the issue. In our implementation of this approach, we focus on endogenous demographic and employment transitions as the driving forces behind changes in poverty. We construct a dataset covering event histories over a long window and estimate five simultaneous hazards with unrestricted correlated heterogeneity. The model fits the demographic and poverty data reasonably well. We investigate the important parameters and processes for differences in individuals’ poverty likelihood. Employment, and particularly employment of disadvantaged women with children, is important.

Keywords: poverty dynamics; poverty transitions; simultaneous hazards (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: I32 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 64 pages
Date: 2005-10
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ltv
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (23)

Downloads: (external link)
http://www.bris.ac.uk/Depts/CMPO/workingpapers/wp134.pdf (application/pdf)
Our link check indicates that this URL is bad, the error code is: 404 Not Found (http://www.bris.ac.uk/Depts/CMPO/workingpapers/wp134.pdf [302 Moved Temporarily]--> https://www.bris.ac.uk/Depts/CMPO/workingpapers/wp134.pdf [301 Moved Permanently]--> https://www.bristol.ac.uk/Depts/CMPO/workingpapers/wp134.pdf [301 Moved Permanently]--> http://www.bristol.ac.uk/cmpo/publications/papers/2005/wp134.pdf [302 Moved Temporarily]--> https://www.bristol.ac.uk/cmpo/publications/papers/2005/wp134.pdf)

Related works:
Working Paper: Modelling poverty by not modelling poverty: An application of a simultaneous hazards approach to the UK (2006)
Working Paper: Modelling poverty by not modelling poverty: an application of a simultaneous hazards approach to the UK (2006)
Working Paper: Modelling poverty by not modelling poverty: an application of a simultaneous hazards approach to the UK (2005)
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:bri:cmpowp:05/134

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in The Centre for Market and Public Organisation from The Centre for Market and Public Organisation, University of Bristol, UK Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by ().