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Are currency crises self-fulfilling? the case of Argentina

Virginie Boinet (), Oreste Napolitano () and Nicola Spagnolo

Public Policy Discussion Papers from Economics and Finance Section, School of Social Sciences, Brunel University

Abstract: This paper analyzes the 2002 Argentine crisis using the Jeanne and Masson (2000) model with sunspots. Testing this model empirically through a Markov-switching model suggests that self-sulfilling prophecies is a reasonable explanation for the devaluation of the peso.

Pages: 7 pages
Date: 2002-10
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