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Channels of Sovereign Risk Spillovers and Investment in the Manufacturing Sector

Sebastian Deininger () and Dietmar Maringer ()
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Sebastian Deininger: University of Basel
Dietmar Maringer: University of Basel

Working papers from Faculty of Business and Economics - University of Basel

Abstract: This paper identifies endogenous and exogenous indicators of firms’ investment activity, and examine, in particular, the effect that these variables have in co-determining firms’ investment decisions. Two channels of spillovers from sovereign risk to firms’ capital expenditures are defined. The first channel, the “direct channel”, describes responses in capital expenditures from an innovation in sovereign risk. The second channel, the “indirect channel”, is a transmission mechanism in which spillovers from changes in sovereign risk indirectly affect a firm’s capital expenditures via its capital market risk and profitability. While we observe that the direct risk channel is of major importance in Emerging and Developing Economies, it is comparatively small in Advanced Economies. In the case of the latter, contagion from changes in sovereign risk on firms’ capital market risk plays a much more important role.

Keywords: Capital expenditures; Risk spillovers; Panel VARX; Differential Evolution (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C63 D81 E22 G31 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cfn and nep-mac
Date: 2017-05-01
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:bsl:wpaper:2017/07

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