Estimating Interdependence Across Space, Time and Outcomes in Binary Choice Models Using Pseudo Maximum Likelihood Estimators

Julian Wucherpfennig, Aya Kachi, Nils-Christian Bormann and Philipp Hunziker

Working papers from Faculty of Business and Economics - University of Basel

Abstract: Binary outcome models are frequently used in Political Science. However, such models have proven particularly dicult in dealing with interdependent data structures, including spatial autocorrelation, temporal autocorrelation, as well as simultaneity arising from endogenous binary regressors. In each of these cases, the primary source of the estimation challenge is the fact that jointly determined error terms in the reduced-form specication are analytically intractable due to a high-dimensional integral. To deal with this problem, simulation approaches have been proposed, but these are computationally intensive and impractical for datasets with thousands of observations. As a way forward, in this paper we demonstrate how to reduce the computational burder signicantly by (i) introducing analytically tractable pseudo maximum likelihoodestimators for latent binary choice models that exhibit interdependence across space, time and/or outcomes, and by (ii) proposing an implementation strategy that increases computational eciency considerably. Monte-Carlo experiments demonstrate that our estimators perform similarly to existing alternatives in terms of error, but require only a fraction of the computational cost.

JEL-codes: C10 C33 C55 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018-03-30
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ecm and nep-ure
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:bsl:wpaper:2018/11

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