Evaluating the effectiveness of the rural minimum living standard guarantee (Dibao) programme in China

Nanak Kakwani, Shi Li (), Xiaobing Wang and Mengbing Zhu

Global Development Institute Working Paper Series from GDI, The University of Manchester

Abstract: China’s rural minimum living standard guarantee programme (Dibao) is the largest social safety-net programme in the world. Given the scale and the popularity of rural Dibao, rigorous evaluation is needed to demonstrate the extent to which the programme meets its intended objective of reducing poverty. This paper develops new methods and uses data from the 2013 Chinese Household Income Project (CHIP2013) to examine the targeting performance of the rural Dibao programme. The paper has found that the rural Dibao programme suffers from very low targeting accuracy, high exclusion error, and inclusion error, and yields a significant negative social rate of return. It discusses possible causes and argues that the fundamental mechanism has to be redesigned to increase the effectiveness of the programme. The paper makes some recommendations to reform Dibao that will significantly improve targeting and reduce the cost of running the programme, thereby helping China to achieve its goal of eradicating extreme poverty by 2020.

Date: 2018
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-agr, nep-cna and nep-tra
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http://hummedia.manchester.ac.uk/institutes/gdi/pu ... /GDI_WP1822_Wang.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
Journal Article: Evaluating the effectiveness of the rural minimum living standard guarantee (Dibao) program in China (2019)
Working Paper: Evaluating the effectiveness of the Rural Minimum Living Standard Guarantee (Dibao) program in China (2017)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:bwp:bwppap:222018

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