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The Impact of Fear of Automation

Marta Golin and Christopher Rauh

Cambridge Working Papers in Economics from Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge

Abstract: In this paper, we establish a causal effect of workers' perceived probability of losing one's job due to automation on preferences for redistribution and intentions to join a union. In a representative sample of the US workforce, we elicit the perceived fear of losing one's job to robots or artificial intelligence. We document a strong relationship between fear of automation and intentions to join a union, retrain and switch occupations, preferences for higher taxation, higher government handouts, populist attitudes, and voting intentions. We then show a causal effect of providing information about job loss probabilities on preferred levels of taxation and handouts. In contrast, our information treatment does not affect workers' intentions to self-insure by retraining or switching occupations, but it increases workers' self-reported likelihood of joining a union to seek more job protection. The treatment effects are mostly driven by workers who are informed about larger job loss probabilities than they perceived.

Keywords: Automation; Inequality; information treatment; Political attitudes; Political preferences; Populism; Redistribution (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022-12-01
Note: cr542
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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Working Paper: The Impact of Fear of Automation (2023) Downloads
Working Paper: The Impact of Fear of Automation (2022) Downloads
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