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Saddle Cycles: Solving Rational Expectations Models Featuring Limit Cycles (or Chaos) Using Perturbation Methods

Dana Galizia

No 18-11, Carleton Economic Papers from Carleton University, Department of Economics

Abstract: Unlike their linear counterparts, non-linear models of the business cycle can generate sustained economic fluctuations even in the absence of shocks (e.g., via limit cycles or chaos). A popular approach to solving non-linear models is the use of perturbation methods. I show that, as typically implemented, these methods are generally incapable of finding solutions that feature limit cycles or chaos, a fact that does not appear to be recognized in the existing literature. Standard algorithms only seek solutions that feature converge to the steady state, which is stronger than the standard definitional requirement that a solution simply cannot explode. Because of this, in estimation exercises any parameterization that involves limit cycles would typically (and incorrectly) be discarded. I propose a modification to standard algorithms that does not impose the overly strong requirement that solutions involve convergence.

Keywords: Dynamic equilibrium economies; Computational methods; Non-linear solution methods; Limit cycles; Chaos (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C63 C68 E37 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 44 pages
Date: 2018-09-10
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-mac
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (3)

Published: Carleton Economic Papers

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Journal Article: Saddle cycles: Solving rational expectations models featuring limit cycles (or chaos) using perturbation methods (2021) Downloads
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