Do Mexicans flee from violence? The effects of drug-related violence on migration decisions in Mexico

Atuesta Laura () and Dusan Paredes
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Atuesta Laura: Drug Policy Program, Centro de Investigación y Docencia Económicas (CIDE), México

No 53, Documentos de Trabajo en Economia y Ciencia Regional from Universidad Catolica del Norte, Chile, Department of Economics

Abstract: This paper attempts to identify the existence of displacement in Mexico caused by drug-related violence. We identify two types of migrants: (i) migrants moving from nonviolent to violent states, driven by better economic opportunities and less expensive cost of living at destination and (ii) migrants moving from violent to nonviolent states: they still migrate even if the cost of living at destination is more expensive and economic opportunities are lower. Our hypothesis is that for the second type, migrants are fleeing from violence, and are willing to sacrifice economic opportunities in order to gain safety. For instance, when migrants move from nonviolent to violent states, they demand a salary 25% greater in order to increase the odds of migration in 10%. On the contrary, when migrants move from violent to nonviolent states, they only demand an increase in their salary of 15%.

Keywords: Internally displaced population (IDP); migration probability; wage differentials; coarsened matching equations; Mincer equations (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: J61 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 46 pages
Date: 2014-07, Revised 2014-07
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-mig
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