Wage subsidy utilisation by Irish companies
Derek Lambert,
Niall McGeever and
Eoghan O'Brien
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Niall McGeever: Central Bank of Ireland
Eoghan O'Brien: Central Bank of Ireland
No 8/FS/22, Financial Stability Notes from Central Bank of Ireland
Abstract:
We use novel company-level data to study wage subsidy utilisation during the COVID-19 pandemic and measure the exposure of the financial sector to subsidy claimants. We show that there were three claimaint cohorts: those that claimed in 2020 only, those that transitioned off the subsidy during 2021, and those that were persistent claimants throughout the pandemic. A large share of companies in the Accommodation & Food and Other Services sectors were persistent claimants, implying a large and persistent decline in turnover prior to the 2022 recovery. Persistent claimants of the subsidy had higher leverage and lower liquidity prior to the pandemic, indicating greater vulnerability coming into the crisis period. We further estimate that 9 per cent of Irish company loan balances at Irish retail banks are owed by borrowers who were still claiming the wage subsidy in 2022Q1, while 24 per cent of balances are owed by borrowers who were claiming the subsidy in mid-2020. The equivalent figures for non-bank lenders are 7 per cent and 32 per cent, respectively.
Date: 2022-10
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