Exchange-Rate Regimes and the Behaviour of Exporters
Cosimo Petracchi,
Luca Riva and
Marco S. Petterson
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Cosimo Petracchi: Central Bank of Ireland
Luca Riva: Central Bank of Ireland
Marco S. Petterson: Central Bank of Ireland
No 11/RT/26, Research Technical Papers from Central Bank of Ireland
Abstract:
This paper proposes a firm-level mechanism that explains why exchange-rate regimes are largely neutral with respect to real macro variables: exporters actively adjust marginal costs and markups to absorb nominal exchange-rate fluctuations. We quantify this mechanism using micro-level data from the European car market (1970–99). We show that floating regimes are associated with limited adjustment in destination-currency prices and limited response in quantities sold. We then estimate a structural demand-and-supply system to recover product-level markups and marginal costs. At breaks from pegged to floating regimes, producer-currency markups fall on impact by around 11% and marginal costs by 10%. A two-country real business cycle model with segmented financial markets, incorporating pricing-to-market and operational hedging, rationalises these patterns. Our model underscores the role of real micro rigidities, rather than nominal rigidities, in the weak transmission of exchange-rate fluctuations to real macro variables.
Keywords: European car market; exchange-rate regimes; demand estimation; pricing-to-market; variable markups; real rigidities. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D22 F31 F41 F44 L11 L62 N14 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2026-10
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-eur
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