EconPapers    
Economics at your fingertips  
 

Estimate of underreporting of COVID-19 in Brazil by Acute Respiratory Syndrome hospitalization reports

Leonardo Ribeiro and Américo Bernardes
Additional contact information
Leonardo Ribeiro: Cedeplar-UFMG
Américo Bernardes: UFOP

No 10, Notas Técnicas Cedeplar-UFMG from Cedeplar, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais

Abstract: The number of COVID-19 infected people in each country is a crucial factor to determine public policies. It guides the governments to strengthen movement restrictions of people or to relieve it. The number of infected people is very important to forecast the needs of the health systems, which are collapsing in many countries. Thus, underreporting of infected people is a huge problem, since authorities do not know the real problem and act in darkness. In the present work, we discuss this subject for the Brazilian case. We take the time series of acute respiratory syndromes reported in the health public system in the last ten years and estimated the number for March/20 when the COVID-19 appeared in Brazil. Our results show a 7.7:1 rate of underreporting, meaning that the real cases in Brazil should be, at least, seven times the publicized number.

Keywords: Corona virus, COVID-19; Underreporting; Brazil (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C15 I18 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 8 pages
Date: 2020-04
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-for, nep-hea and nep-lam
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (4)

Downloads: (external link)
https://www.cedeplar.ufmg.br/component/phocadownlo ... subestimacao-covid19 Fist version 16/04/2020. (application/pdf)
Our link check indicates that this URL is bad, the error code is: 404 Not Found (https://www.cedeplar.ufmg.br/component/phocadownload/category/18-noticias?download=1296:subestimacao-covid19 [301 Moved Permanently]--> https://cedeplar.ufmg.br/component/phocadownload/category/18-noticias?download=1296:subestimacao-covid19)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:cdp:tecnot:tn010

Ordering information: This working paper can be ordered from
Cedeplar-FACE-UFMG Av. Antonio Carlos, 6627 Belo Horizonte, MG 31270-901 Brazil

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in Notas Técnicas Cedeplar-UFMG from Cedeplar, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais Cedeplar-FACE-UFMG Av. Antonio Carlos, 6627 Belo Horizonte, MG 31270-901 Brazil. Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Gustavo Britto ().

 
Page updated 2024-07-21
Handle: RePEc:cdp:tecnot:tn010