Repercussões setoriais e regionais da crise econômica de 2009 no Brasil: simulações em um modelo de equilíbrio geral computável de dinâmica recursiva

Edson Domingues, Admir Antonio Betarelli Junior, Aline Souza Magalhães, Terciane Carvalho and Flaviane Souza Santiago
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Admir Antonio Betarelli Junior: Cedeplar-UFMG
Aline Souza Magalhães: Cedeplar-UFMG
Flaviane Souza Santiago: Cedeplar-UFMG

Textos para Discussão Cedeplar-UFMG from Cedeplar, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais

Abstract: The aim of this paper is to analyze the effects of economic downturn with the crisis of 2009 on the Brazilian economy, especially on activity sectors and states. To get a consistent picture of these impacts, which takes into account economic macroeconomic indicators and sectoral data (exports and imports), a dynamic recursive computable general equilibrium model is used. The model´s results allow differentiating the regional and sectoral impacts according to local demand and exports, as well as the role of government spending in damping of crisis. Moreover, the impacts of some temporary reductions of IPI (equipments and cars) are analyzed.

Keywords: Financial crisis; economic sectors; general equilibrium; recursive dynamic (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C68 D58 E27 O18 O40 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 32 pages
Date: 2010-08
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Working Paper: REPERCUSSÕESSETORIAIS E REGIONAIS DA CRISE ECONÔMICA DE 2009 NO BRASIL: SIMULAÇÕESEM UM MODELO DE EQUILÍBRIO GERAL COMPUTÁVEL DE DINÂMICA RECURSIVA (2011)
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