Impactos estruturais do programa Bolsa família na dinâmica recente da economia brasileira

Débora Cardoso, Edson Domingues and Gustavo Britto
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Débora Cardoso: Cedeplar-UFMG

No 556, Textos para Discussão Cedeplar-UFMG from Cedeplar, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais

Abstract: The aim of this study is to introduce a methodology to project impacts of cash transfers programs, which we exemplify through the evaluation of the BolsaFamília Program in a recent period of the Brazilian economy (2009-2015). An original dynamic recursive computable general equilibrium model, modified to consider issues related to income distribution and their impact on households consumption levels as well as on sectoral output was applied. The results suggest that the program also generates income gains for classes which do not receive cash transfers from Government by its indirect effects on labor and capital income, but has effects on labor income inequality decrease and on productive structure. We conclude that cash transfers policieshave important impacts over the process of development of the country, even though its effect on growth is small.

Keywords: Cash transfer programs; Bolsa Família; Inequality; Consumption; Productive Structure; Computable General Equilibrium (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C60 C68 H53 O15 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 31 pages
Date: 2017-06
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