Estimating the U.S. Citizen Voting-Age Population (CVAP) Using Blended Survey Data, Administrative Record Data, and Modeling: Technical Report

J. David Brown, Genevieve Denoeux, Misty Heggeness, Carl Lieberman, Lauren Medina, Marta Murray-Close, Danielle Sandler, Joseph L. Schafer, Matthew Spence, Lawrence Warren and Moises Yi

Working Papers from U.S. Census Bureau, Center for Economic Studies

Abstract: This report develops a method using administrative records (AR) to fill in responses for nonresponding American Community Survey (ACS) housing units rather than adjusting survey weights to account for selection of a subset of nonresponding housing units for follow-up interviews and for nonresponse bias. The method also inserts AR and modeling in place of edits and imputations for ACS survey citizenship item nonresponses. We produce Citizen Voting-Age Population (CVAP) tabulations using this enhanced CVAP method and compare them to published estimates. The enhanced CVAP method produces a 0.74 percentage point lower citizen share, and it is 3.05 percentage points lower for voting-age Hispanics. The latter result can be partly explained by omissions of voting-age Hispanic noncitizens with unknown legal status from ACS household responses. Weight adjustments may be less effective at addressing nonresponse bias under those conditions.

Keywords: citizenship; administrative records; voting-age population; nonresponse bias (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C1 C6 C8 J1 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 106 pages
Date: 2023-04
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-des
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https://www2.census.gov/library/working-papers/2023/adrm/ces/CES-WP-23-21.pdf First version, 2023 (application/pdf)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:cen:wpaper:23-21

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