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Chicken or Egg? The PVAR Econometrics of Transportation

Gabriel Ahlfeldt, Kristoffer Moeller and Nicolai Wendland

SERC Discussion Papers from Centre for Economic Performance, LSE

Abstract: To analyze the mutually dependent relationship between local economic performance and the demand for and supply of transport services, we employ the structural panel VAR method that is popular in the macroeconomic literature, but which has not previously been applied to the modeling of within-city dynamics of transportation. We focus on a within-city panel of Berlin, Germany, during the heyday of the construction of its dense public transit network (1880-1914). Our results suggest that economic outcomes and supply of transport infrastructure mutually determine each other. Both transport demand and supply seem to be driven more by firms than by residents.

Keywords: Transport; land use; Berlin; history; panel vector; autoregression (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: N73 N74 R12 R14 R41 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2014-03
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-pbe, nep-reg, nep-tre and nep-ure
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (7)

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Related works:
Journal Article: Chicken or egg? The PVAR econometrics of transportation (2015) Downloads
Working Paper: Chicken or egg? the PVAR econometrics of transportation (2014) Downloads
Working Paper: Chicken or egg? the PVAR econometrics of transportation (2014) Downloads
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