The Incidence of Civil War: Theory and Evidence

Timothy Besley and Torsten Persson ()

STICERD - Economic Organisation and Public Policy Discussion Papers Series from Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines, LSE

Abstract: This paper studies the incidence of civil war over time. We put forward a canonical model of civil war, which relates the incidence of conflict to circumstances, institutions and features of the underlying economy and polity. We use this model to derive testable predictions and to interpret the cross-sectional and times-series variations in civil conflict. Our most novel empirical finding is that higher world market prices of exported, as well as imported, commodities are strong and significant predictors of higher within-country incidence of civil war.

Date: 2009-02
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-his
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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Related works:
Working Paper: The Incidence of Civil War: Theory and Evidence (2008)
Working Paper: The Incidence of Civil War: Theory and Evidence (2008)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:cep:stieop:005

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