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A banana republic? The effects of inconsistencies in the counting of votes on voting behavior

Niklas Potrafke () and Felix Rösel
Authors registered in the RePEc Author Service: Felix Roesel ()

No 276, ifo Working Paper Series from ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich

Abstract: We examine whether local inconsistencies in the counting of votes influence voting behavior. We exploit the case of the second ballot of the 2016 presidential election in Austria. The ballot needed to be repeated because postal votes were counted carelessly in individual electoral districts (“scandal districts”). We use a difference-indifferences approach comparing election outcomes from the regular and the repeated round. The results do not show that voter turnout and postal voting declined significantly in scandal districts. Quite the contrary, voter turnout and postal voting increased slightly by about 1 percentage point in scandal districts compared to nonscandal districts. Postal votes in scandal districts also were counted with some greater care in the repeated ballot. We employ micro-level survey data indicating that voters in scandal districts blamed the federal constitutional court for ordering a second election, but did not seem to blame local authorities.

Keywords: Elections; trust; political scandals; administrative malpractice; counting of votes; voter turnout; populism; natural experiment (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D72 D02 Z18 P16 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cdm, nep-eur and nep-pol
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (3) Track citations by RSS feed

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Journal Article: A banana republic? The effects of inconsistencies in the counting of votes on voting behavior (2019) Downloads
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