Avoiding Trillion-Dollar Delays: Pooled Pandemic Financing to Reduce Global Losses

Ruchir Agarwal

No 726, Working Papers from Center for Global Development

Abstract: The COVID-19 pandemic resulted in approximately $13.8 trillion in global economic losses between 2020 and 2024, with low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) shouldering nearly two-thirds of the burden. This paper examines why some countries experienced deeper economic impacts. Nations with prolonged lockdowns, heavy reliance on trade or tourism, or limited access to early vaccines, tests, and treatments suffered the most. One contributing factor was the absence of a coordinated global financing mechanism, which gave rise to a country-by-country model—requiring most governments to independently arrange funding and negotiate supply deals—thereby exacerbating inequities in access and slowing the overall pandemic response. For many poorer countries, affordable loans and guarantees arrived too late, often after initial production slots had been filled. I propose Day Zero Financing—a pre-approved, pooled liquidity line backed by multilateral development banks and donors—that would enable countries to swiftly access vaccines, tests, and treatments. While the mechanism need not be pre-funded in peacetime, a ready-to-activate framework with pre-agreed terms would allow for faster deployment of counter-cyclical resources when needed. Early, coordinated support of this kind could have significantly reduced economic damage and saved millions of lives, offering one of the most cost-effective public finance tools for future pandemics.

Pages: 26 pages
Date: 2025-09-10
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
https://www.cgdev.org/publication/avoiding-trillio ... l&utm_campaign=repec

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:cgd:wpaper:726

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in Working Papers from Center for Global Development Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Publications Manager ().