The Exchange Rate Effect of Multi-Currency Risk Arbitrage
Harald Hau
No 12-07, Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series from Swiss Finance Institute
Abstract:
This paper (i) proposes a simple multi-currency model of speculative foreign exchange (FX) trading, (ii) uses a natural experiment to identify the implied components of the optimal trading strategy, and (iii) proposes a new spectral inference method to strengthen the statistical evidence on the predicted shortrun exchange rate dynamics. Cross-sectional currency hedging effects are shown to be qualitatively large in their price impact and can contribute to the disconnect between exchange rates and fundamentals.
Keywords: Speculation; Limited Arbitrage; Hedging; Exchange Rate Disconnect (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G11 G14 G15 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 53 pages
Date: 2012-02
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-opm
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Related works:
Journal Article: The exchange rate effect of multi-currency risk arbitrage (2014) 
Working Paper: The Exchange Rate Effect of Multi-Currency Risk Arbitrage (2009) 
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:chf:rpseri:rp1207
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