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Nonparametric models of financial leverage decisions

João Bastos and Joaquim Ramalho ()

No 1005, CEMAPRE Working Papers from Centre for Applied Mathematics and Economics (CEMAPRE), School of Economics and Management (ISEG), Technical University of Lisbon

Abstract: This paper investigates the properties of nonparametric decision tree models in the analysis of financial leverage decisions. This approach presents two appealing features: the relationship between leverage ratios and the explanatory variables is not predetermined but is derived according to information provided by the data, and the models respect the bounded and fractional nature of leverage ratios. The analysis shows that tree models suggest relationships between explanatory variables and the relative amount of issued debt that parametric models fail to capture. Furthermore, the significant relationships found by tree models are in most cases in accordance with the effects predicted by the pecking-order theory. The results also show that two-part tree models can accommodate better the distinct effects of explanatory variables on the decision to issue debt and on the amount of debt issued by firms that do resort to debt.

Keywords: Capital structure; Fractional regression; Decision trees; Two-part models (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C14 C35 G32 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 25 pages
Date: 2010-09
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-bec
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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Related works:
Journal Article: NONPARAMETRIC MODELS OF FINANCIAL LEVERAGE DECISIONS (2016) Downloads
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