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Payment Holidays, Credit Risk, and Borrower-Based Limits: Insights from the Czech Mortgage Market

Martin Hodula and Lukas Pfeifer

Working Papers from Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department

Abstract: The Czech Republic provides a unique setting to examine the effects of loan moratoria during the COVID-19 pandemic, as it combined broad-access legislative moratoria with stricter, eligibility-based bank moratoria. Using detailed loan-level data from the Czech mortgage market, we find that legislative moratoria were predominantly precautionary, addressing a wide range of borrowers, whereas bank moratoria were primarily utilized by higher-risk borrowers facing solvency challenges. Post-moratoria, we observe limited materialization of credit risk, which was nearly twice as high for bank moratoria compared to legislative moratoria. Stricter borrower-based regulations (LTV, DTI, and DSTI limits) implemented prior to the pandemic were associated with lower moratoria uptake and reduced post-moratoria arrears. These findings underscore the effectiveness of combining universal legislative moratoria with targeted bank measures to balance immediate economic relief and long-term financial stability.

Keywords: Borrower-based measures; COVID-19 economic policy; credit risk mitigation; loan moratoria; mortgage arrears (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E44 G21 G28 G51 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025-01
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