Economics Program Working Papers

From The Conference Board, Economics Program
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13-05: Recent Changes in Europe’s Competitive Landscape and Medium-Term Perspectives: How the Sources of Demand and Supply Are Shaping Up

Bart van Ark, Vivian Chen, Bert Colijn, Kirsten Jaeger, Willem Overmeer and Marcel Timmer

13-03: Imported Intermediate Inputs and Workforce Composition: Evidence from India's Tariff Liberalization

Shruti Sharma

13-02: Modeling Trends, Cyclical Movements and Turning Points of the Chinese Economy

Ataman Ozyildirim and Harry Wu

13-01: Forecasting Chinese Households’ Demand from Home Production

Yabin Wang

12-04: Innovation Accounting

Carol Corrado and Charles Hulten

12-03: Intangible Capital and Growth in Advanced Economies: Measurement Methods and Comparative Results

Carol Corrado, Jonathan Haskel, Cecilia Jona-Lasinio and Massimiliano Iommi

12-02: Projecting Global Growth

Vivian Chen, Ben Cheng, Gad Levanon, Ataman Ozyildirim and Bart van Ark

12-01: Total Factor Productivity among Cities in China: Estimation and Explanation

Yan Xu and Shu Yu

11-07: Projecting Economic Growth with Growth Accounting Techniques: The Conference Board Global Economic Outlook 2012 Sources and Methods

Vivian Chen, Ben Cheng, Gad Levanon and Bart van Ark

11-06: Comprehensive Benchmark Revisions for The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® for the United States

Gad Levanon, Ataman Ozyildirim, Brian Schaitkin and Justyna Zabinska

11-05: Using a Leading Credit Index to Predict Turning Points in the U.S. Business Cycle

Gad Levanon, Jean-Claude Manini, Ataman Ozyildirim, Brian Schaitkin and Jennelyn Tanchua

11-04: Constructing a Data Set on Labour Composition Change

Boele Bonthuis

11-03: Constructing a Price Deflator for R&D: Calculating the Price of Knowledge Investments as a Residual

Carol Corrado, Peter Goodridge and Jonathan Haskel

11-02: U.S. Workers Are Delaying Retirement: Who and Why, and Implications for Businesses

Gad Levanon and Ben Cheng

11-01: Communication Capital, Metcalfe’s Law, and U.S. Productivity Growth

Carol Corrado

10-03: India’s Demographic Transition: Boon or Bane? A State-Level Perspective

Utsav Kumar

10-02: On the Selection of Leading Economic Indicators for China

Bill Adams, Peter Bottelier, Ataman Ozyildirim and Jing Sima-Friedman

10-01: The Case for Business to Invest in Post-Secondary Credentials

Christopher Woock

09-03: Rising Wages: Has China Lost Its Global Labor Advantage?

Dennis Yang, Vivian Chen and Ryan Monarch

09-02: the Cost Competitiveness of the Manufacturing Sector in China and India: An Industry and Regional Perspective

Bart van Ark, Abdul Azeez Erumban, Vivian Chen and Utsav Kumar

09-01: Some Recent Changes in Economic Growth, Cycles and Volatility

Ataman Ozyildirim and Victor Zarnowitz

08-13: Accounting for the Knowledge Economy

Charles Hulten

08-12: Entrepreneurs, Inventors and the Growth of the Economy

William Baumol

08-11: Exploring Innovation with Firm Level Data

Samuel Kortum

08-10: Historical Foundations of American Technology

Gavin Wright

08-09: Immigration and Labor Force Trends

Lindsay Lowell

08-08: Innovation as Viewed from Within the Corporation

Jim Lichtenberg and Christopher Woock

08-07: Technological Change and Earnings Polarization: Implications for Skill Demand and Economic Growth

David Autor

08-06: The dynamics of spatial agglomeration in China: an empirical assessment

Ana Moreno-Monroy

08-05: Do Intangible Investments Create Value? Comparing Capitalization Rates of Listed Firms

Sjoerd Bekkum

08-04: Business Cycles in the Euro Area Defined with Coincident Economic Indicators and Predicted with Leading Economic Indicators

Ataman Ozyildirim, Brian Schaitkin and Victor Zarnowitz

08-03: MEASURING CHANGES IN COMPETITIVENESS IN CHINESE MANUFACTURING INDUSTRIES ACROSS REGIONS IN 1995-2004:AN UNIT LABOR COST APPROACH

Vivian Chen, Harry Wu and Bart van Ark

08-02: Intangible Capital and the “Market to Book Value” Puzzle

Charles Hulten and Janet Hao

08-01: On the Measurement and Analysis of Aggregate Economic Activity for China: The Coincident Economic Indicators Approach

Feng Guo, Ataman Ozyildirim and Victor Zarnowitz

07-04: The Contribution of Restructuring and Reallocation to China's Productivity and Growth

Haiyan Deng, Robert McGuckin, John Haltiwanger, Jianyi Xu, Yaodong Liu and Yuqi Liu

07-03: Persistent Business Cycles and High Economic Growth: How to Explain Their Long Concurrence in Modern Capitalism?

Victor Zarnowitz

07-02: Innovation, Intangibles and Economic Growth: Towards A Comprehensive Accounting of the Knowledge Economy

Bart van Ark and Charles Hulten

07-01: Manufacturing In China Today: Employment And Labor Compensation

Judith Banister

06-02: Europe's Productivity Gap: Catching Up or Getting Stuck?

Bart van Ark

06-01: Appendices to Internationally Comparable Science, Technology and Competitiveness Indicators

Robert McGuckin, Bart van Ark, Sean Dougherty and Robert Inklaar

04-02: What Role for the Private Sector in Public Statistics?

Robert McGuckin

04-01: The Structure of Business R&D: Recent Trends and Measurement Implications

Robert McGuckin, Robert Inklaar, Bart van Ark and Sean Dougherty

03-05: ICT and Productivity in Europe and the United States: Where Do the Differences Come From?

Bart van Ark, Robert Inklaar and Robert McGuckin

03-04: Real-Time Tests of the Leading Economic Index: Do Changes in the Index Composition Matter?

Robert McGuckin and Ataman Ozyildirim

03-03: International Comparisons of R&D Expenditure: Does an R&D PPP make a difference?

Sean Dougherty, Robert Inklaar, Robert McGuckin and Bart van Ark

03-02: The Employment Effects of the 'New Economy' A Comparison of the European Union and the United States

Bart van Ark, Robert Inklaar, Robert McGuckin and Marcel Timmer

03-01: A More Timely and Useful Index of Leading Indicators

Robert McGuckin, Ataman Ozyildirim and Victor Zarnowitz

02-02: 'Changing Gear' - Productivity, ICT and Services Industries: Europe and the United States

Bart van Ark, Robert Inklaar and Robert McGuckin

02-01: The Effect of Ownership Structure and Jurisdictional Governance on Productivity in Chinese Enterprises

Sean Dougherty and Robert McGuckin

01-03: Time Series Decomposition and Measurement of Business Cycles, Trends and Growth Cycles

Victor Zarnowitz and Ataman Ozyildirim

01-02: Workforce Diversity and Productivity: An Analysis of Employer-Employee Match Data

Linda Barrington and Kenneth Troske

01-01: The Old and the New in the U.S. Economic Expansion

Victor Zarnowitz

00-04: The Composite Index of Leading Economic Indicators: How to Make it More Timely

Robert McGuckin, Ataman Ozyildirim and Victor Zarnowitz

00-03: Computers and Productivity: Are Aggregation Effects Important?

Robert McGuckin and Kevin Stiroh

00-02: Do Computers Make Output Harder to Measure?

Robert McGuckin and Kevin Stiroh

00-01: The Impact of Vintage and Survival on Productivity: Evidence from Cohorts of U.S. Manufacturing Plants

J. Jensen, Robert McGuckin and Kevin Stiroh