EconPapers    
Economics at your fingertips  
 

Conflict and Uncertainty: A Dynamic Approach

Miguel Espinosa Farfan () and Juan Prada Sarmiento ()

Documentos CEDE from Universidad de los Andes – Facultad de Economía – CEDE

Abstract: Most of the conflict theory papers have used a one-shot game set-up. This does not correspond to reality and is certainly incapable of modeling real conflict situations. We propose a dynamic model with N-agents in an infinite time frame which allow us to adequately analyze conflicts. The dynamic aspects of the conflict come at least from two sources: first, the preferences on the good in dispute are not static; second, agentsin conflict can influence the future of the conflict by making investment in conflict's technology. We use a simple deterministic rule that defines the evolution of the subjective valuation for the good in dispute according to the results obtained by the agents in the recent past. During each period the realization of stochastic variables of the nature's states induces uncertainty in the game. The model is a theoretical approach that can be applied to evaluate the role of uncertainty and valuations' evolution on the optimal choices of forward-looking economic agents that seek to appropriate a share of a divisible resource.

Keywords: Conflict Theory; Dynamic Economic Model; Uncertainty (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C70 D70 D81 D84 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 28
Date: 2010-01-21
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: Track citations by RSS feed

Downloads: (external link)
https://repositorio.uniandes.edu.co/bitstream/handle/1992/8150/dcede2010-06.pdf

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:col:000089:006716

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in Documentos CEDE from Universidad de los Andes – Facultad de Economía – CEDE
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Universidad De Los Andes-Cede ().

 
Page updated 2022-06-24
Handle: RePEc:col:000089:006716