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Budget deficits and inflation feedback

Sergey Pekarski

No 2008054, LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE from Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE)

Abstract: This paper contributes to the literature on budget deficits and inflation in high inflation economies. The main finding is that recurrent outbursts of extreme inflation in these economies can be explained by a certain hysteresis effect associated with public finance. This interpretation meets the evidence that dramatic shifts between regimes of moderately high and extremely high (hyper-) inflation often occur without visible deterioration in public finance or abrupt shifts in fiscal or monetary policies. The existence of this hysteresis effect is explicitly explained by the action of two mechanisms: the arithmetic associated with the wrong side of the inflation tax Laffer curve and the Patinkin effect (the reverse of the much oftener cited Olivera-Tanzi effect). It is also shown that the division of the operational budget deficit into the part that is subject to negative inflation feedback and the part that is inflation-proof, has implications for both the discussion of the inflationary consequences of budget deficits and the proper design of stabilization policy.

Keywords: budget deficit; high inflation; the Patinkin effect. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E41 E52 E61 E63 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2008-10-01
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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Journal Article: Budget deficits and inflation feedback (2011) Downloads
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