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Testing for Asymmetric Information in the Viager Market

Philippe Fevrier, Laurent Linnemer and Michael Visser
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Philippe Fevrier: Crest

No 2010-01, Working Papers from Center for Research in Economics and Statistics

Abstract: A viager real estate transaction consists in selling a property in return for a down paymentand a rent (life annuity) that the buyer has to pay until the seller dies. This paper testsfor the presence of asymmetric information in this market. Thanks to a no arbitrage condition(buyers must be indifferent between purchasing on the standard and viager market), weidentify the type of the seller as a sum of weighted death probabilities. By comparing thesesums with analogously defined national-level sums we can check whether viager sellers havethe same survival distribution as individuals in the population. We then develop a modelfor a viager sale and derive testable predictions under symmetric and asymmetric information.Our test for asymmetric information consists in regressing the contract parameters(down payment and rent) on the inferred type of the seller, and comparing the estimateswith the predicted outcomes. Notarial data are used on transactions in Paris between 1992and 2001. We find that sellers do not have the same survival distributions as comparablepersons in the population, and hence they have information about their death probabilities.The hypothesis that information is symmetrically distributed between buyers and sellers isaccepted. This highlights that the information about the seller’s survival prospects is nolonger private when the contract is signed.

Date: 2010
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Related works:
Journal Article: Testing for asymmetric information in the viager market (2012) Downloads
Working Paper: Testing for asymmetric information in the viager market (2012)
Working Paper: Testing for asymmetric information in the viager market (2009) Downloads
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