The Geography of Output Volatility

Adeel Malik and Jonathan Temple

No 2005-07, CSAE Working Paper Series from Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford

Abstract: This paper examines the structural determinants of output volatility in developing countries, and especially the roles of geography and institutions. We investigate the volatility effects of market access, climate variability, the geographic predisposition to trade, and various measures of institutional quality. We find an especially important role for market access: remote countries are more likely to have undiversified exports and to experience greater volatility in output growth. Our results are based on Bayesian methods that allow us to address formally the problem of model uncertainty and to examine robustness across a wide range of specifications.

Keywords: Volatility; Geography; Institutions; Bayesian Model Averaging (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E30 O11 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2005
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (6)

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Related works:
Journal Article: The geography of output volatility (2009)
Working Paper: The Geography of Output Volatility (2006)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:csa:wpaper:2005-07

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