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Predicting strategic change of public research institutions under unstable negative growth

Mario Coccia ()

CERIS Working Paper from Institute for Economic Research on Firms and Growth - Moncalieri (TO) ITALY -NOW- Research Institute on Sustainable Economic Growth - Moncalieri (TO) ITALY

Abstract: The purpose of this paper is to forecast and analyse, by a demographic perspective, the organizational behaviour of public research labs. The research focuses on the biggest Italian public research body. Demographic models of growth, based on different human resource policies, show the uncertain and retrogressive evolutionary change of Italian public research bodies that would halve their research personnel over the forecast horizon. These results provide vital information to the public management about the weaknesses and environmental threats in order to support decisions for improving the strategic change and survival of public research institutions over time.

Keywords: Organizational Studies; Forecasting; Public Research Institutions; Internal Demography (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: I20 J11 J26 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 21 pages
Date: 2009-12
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cse, nep-edu and nep-for
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