Globalization and synchronization of innovation cycles

Kiminori Matsuyama, Iryna Sushko () and Laura Gardini ()
Additional contact information
Iryna Sushko: Institute of Mathematics, National Academy of Science of Ukraine

No 9, Gecomplexity Discussion Paper Series from Action IS1104 "The EU in the new complex geography of economic systems: models, tools and policy evaluation"

Abstract: We propose and analyze a two-country model of endogenous innovation cycles. In autarky, innovation fluctuations in the two countries are decoupled. As the trade costs fall and intra-industry trade rises, they become synchronized. This is because globalization leads to the alignment of innovation incentives across firms based in different countries, as they operate in the increasingly global (hence common) market environment. Furthermore, synchronization occurs faster (i.e., with a smaller reduction in trade costs) when the country sizes are more unequal, and it is the larger country that dictates the tempo of global innovation cycles with the smaller country adjusting its rhythm to the rhythm of the larger country. These results suggest that adding endogenous sources of productivity fluctuations might help improve our understanding of why countries that trade more with each other have more synchronized business cycles.

Keywords: Endogenous innovation cycles and productivity co-movements; Globalization, Home market effect; Synchronized vs. Asynchronized cycles; Synchronization of coupled oscillators; Basins of attraction; Two-dimensional, piecewise smooth, noninvertible maps (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C61 E32 F12 F44 F6 O31 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 60 pages
Date: 2015-02, Revised 2015-02
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ino, nep-int, nep-knm, nep-mac and nep-opm
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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http://www.gecomplexity-cost.eu/repec/cst/wpaper/geco_dp_9.pdf First version, 2015 (application/pdf)

Related works:
Working Paper: Globalization and synchronization of innovation cycles (2015)
Working Paper: Globalization and Synchronization of Innovation Cycles (2014)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:cst:wpaper:9

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