Expropriation risk, investment decisions and economic sectors
Javier Población
Authors registered in the RePEc Author Service: Diana Constanza Restrepo Ochoa
DEE - Working Papers. Business Economics. WB from Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de EconomÃa de la Empresa
Abstract:
We build a Real Options model to assess the importance of private provisionand the impact of expropriation risk on investment timing, investmentvolumes, governmental costs and social welfare. We consider two types ofbusinesses (essential and non essential businesses) and two stages (operatingand investment opportunities), and answer questions regarding three maintopics: the firm's reaction to expropriation risk, the government drivers toexpropriate, and the costs this generates in terms of welfare. We find thatthe firm makes suboptimal investment decisions. When we endogenize thereputational costs of expropriation, results show that the decision of the governmentregarding the level of political risk will largely depend on the typeof business. However, in terms of welfare it is never optimal to expropriate
Keywords: Expropriation; risk; Expropriation; Option; Investment; option; Abandonment; option; Costs; of; expropriation (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G38 H80 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2014-09
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Journal Article: Expropriation risk, investment decisions and economic sectors (2015) 
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:cte:wbrepe:wb142309
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