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Modelling the discrete and infrequent official interest rate change in the UK

Edoardo Otranto () and Juan de Dios Tena ()

DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS from Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística

Abstract: This paper is an empirical analysis of the manner in which official interest rates are determined by the Bank of England. We use a nonlinear framework that allow for the separate study of factors affecting the magnitude of positive and negative interest rate changes as well as their probabilities. Using this approach, new kinds of monetary shocks are defined and used to evaluate their impact on the UK economy. Among them, unanticipated negative interest rate changes are especially important. The model generalizes previous approaches in the literature and provides a rich methodology to understand central banks' decisions and their consequences.

New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cba, nep-mac and nep-mon
Date: 2006-04
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:cte:wsrepe:ws062007

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