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Dating and Forecasting the Belgian Business Cycle

Vincent Bodart, Konstantin Kholodilin () and Fatemeh Shadman

No 2003018, LIDAM Discussion Papers IRES from Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES)

Abstract: This paper investigates the Belgian business cycle. It establishes a chronology of cycles over the period 1980-2002 using real GDP, which it suggests can be regarded as a reference cycle. It then uses this chronology to evaluate the performance of alternative business cycle indicators in terms of their ability to predict business cycle turning points. We also investigate to what extent these indicators help improve forecasting the Belgian GDP growth.

Keywords: Dating (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E32 E37 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 40
Date: 2003-09-01
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-mac
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ctl:louvir:2003018

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