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Measuring the Pricing Error of the Arbitrage Pricing Theory

John Geweke and Guofu Zhou

No 276, CEMA Working Papers from China Economics and Management Academy, Central University of Finance and Economics

Abstract: This article provides an exact Bayesian framework for analyzing the arbitrage pricing theory (APT). Based on the Gibbs sampler, we show how to obtain the exact posterior distributions for functions of interest in the factor modeL In particular, we propose a measure of the APT pricing deviations and obtain its exact posterior distribution. Using monthly portfolio returns grouped by industry and market capitalization, we find that there is little improvement in reducing the pricing errors by including more factors beyond the first one.

Pages: 31 pages
Date: 1996
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (166)

Published in the Review of Financial Studies, Summer 1996, Vol. 9, No. 2, pp. 557-587

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Related works:
Journal Article: Measuring the Pricing Error of the Arbitrage Pricing Theory (1996) Downloads
Working Paper: Measuring the pricing error of the arbitrage pricing theory (1995) Downloads
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