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Statistical Modelling of Second Round Qualification at FIFA World Cup Tournaments

Afees Salisu and Ibrahim Raheem ()

No 27, Working Papers from Centre for Econometric and Allied Research, University of Ibadan

Abstract: In this paper, we model the predictors of second round qualification at FIFA World Cup tournaments. We utilize data covering the last four tournaments namely 2002, 2006, 2010 and 2014. We employ the methodology of Norton et al. (2004) to estimate the predictors. Also, we establish how the significance of these predictors differs across the participating continents. In addition, we determine the likelihood of single continent and continent pair dominance in the second round stage. We hope to revisit these findings as new rules unfold and notable changes that may alter the existing trend become evident.

Keywords: FIFA; World cup; Second round qualification; Binary Choice Model (BCM) (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C35 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 29 pages
Date: 2017-08
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-spo
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