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Managing the Impact of Climate Change on Migration: Evidence from Mexico

Isabelle Chort () and Maëlys De La Rupelle

No DT/2017/04, Working Papers from DIAL (Développement, Institutions et Mondialisation)

Abstract: This paper uses state-level migration flow data between Mexico and the U.S. from 1999 to 2011 to investigate the migration response to climate shocks and the mitigating impact of an agricultural cash-transfer program (PROCAMPO) and a disaster fund (Fonden). Our results suggest that droughts increase undocumented migration. Fonden amounts are found to mitigate the effect of climate shocks by lowering the undocumented migration response to precipitation anomalies. Similarly an increase in the share of PROCAMPO funds to the ejido sector decreases undocumented migration after a shock. By contrast, we find no robust evidence of a mitigating impact on documented migration.

Keywords: International migration; Climate change; Public policies; Weather variability; Natural disasters; Mexico-U.S. migration. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F22 Q54 Q18 O15 J61 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-agr, nep-dev, nep-env, nep-int and nep-mig
Date: 2017-03
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http://www.dial.ird.fr/media/ird-sites-d-unites-de ... travail/2017/2017-04 First version, 2017 (application/pdf)

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Working Paper: Managing the Impact of Climate Change on Migration: Evidence from Mexico (2017) Downloads
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