Terrorism Risk Concern in Europe

Konstantinos Drakos and Cathérine Müller

No 37, Economics of Security Working Paper Series from DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research

Abstract: We explore whether differences of terrorism risk perception across all European countries reflect their underlying differences in terrorism risk, which we decompose into a long term and innovation component. We employ longitudinal country-level data on terrorism risk concern and our modeling approach is motivated by the Bayesian framework. We conclude that the observed risk perception variation is significantly explained by the long term terrorism countries face, while the cyclical part of terrorism activity does not affect risk perception.

Pages: 11 p.
Date: 2010
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Journal Article: Terrorism risk concern in Europe (2011)
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