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Long Memory in the Ukrainian Stock Market

Guglielmo Maria Caporale and Luis Gil-Alana

No 1279, Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin from DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research

Abstract: This paper examines the dynamics of stock prices in Ukraine by estimating the degree of persistence of the PFTS stock market index. Using long memory techniques we show that the log prices series is I(d) with d slightly above 1, implying that returns are characterised by a small degree of long memory and thus are predictable using historical data. Moreover, their volatility, measured as the absolute and squared returns, also displays long memory. Finally, we examine if the time dependence is affected by the day of the week; the results indicate that Mondays and Fridays are characterised by higher dependency, consistently with the literature on anomalies in stock market prices.

Keywords: Stock market prices; Efficient market hypothesis; Long memory; Fractional integration (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C22 G12 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 20 p.
Date: 2013
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-fmk and nep-tra
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (5)

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