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The Role of Asset Markets for Private Consumption: Evidence from Paneleconometric Models

Christian Dreger and Hans-Eggert Reimers

No 872, Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin from DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research

Abstract: We explore the long and short run relationship between private consumption, disposable income and housing and financial wealth approximated by price indices for a panel of industrialized countries. Consumption, income and wealth are cointegrated in their common, but not in their idiosyncratic components. This stresses the relevance of inter-national spillovers to explain aggregate consumption behaviour. The cointegrating vector is robust and in line with the life cycle permanent income hypothesis. The in-come elasticity does not differ from unity, and wealth elasticities are within a range of 2 to 5 percent. According to the error correction mechanism, consumption could not be interpreted as a weakly exogenous series.

Keywords: Permanent income hypothesis; panel cointegration; wealth effects (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C23 E21 E32 G15 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 28 p.
Date: 2009
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (13)

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