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Long Memory in US Real Output per Capita

Guglielmo Maria Caporale and Luis Gil-Alana

No 891, Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin from DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research

Abstract: This paper analyses the long memory properties of quarterly real output per capita in the US (1948Q1 - 2008Q3) using non-parametric, semi-parametric and parametric techniques. The results vary substantially depending on the methodology employed. Evidence of mean reversion is obtained in a parametric context if the underlying disturbances are weakly autocorrelated. We also examine the possibility of a structural break in the data and the results indicate that there is a slight reduction in the degree of persistence after the break that is found to occur in the second quarter of 1978.

Keywords: Fractional Integration; Long Memory; Convergence (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C22 O40 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 36 p.
Date: 2009
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-bec
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (4)

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Journal Article: Long memory in US real output per capita (2013) Downloads
Working Paper: Long Memory in US Real Output per Capita (2009) Downloads
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