The Globalization of Steam Coal Markets and the Role of Logistics: An Empirical Analysis
Astrid Cullmann (),
Anne Neumann and
Christian von Hirschhausen
No 956, Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin from DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research
In this paper, we provide a comprehensive multivariate cointegration analysis of three parts of the steam coal value chain - export, transport and import prices. The analysis is based on a rich dataset of international coal prices; in particular, we combine data on steam coal prices with freight rates, covering the period December 2001 until August 2009 at weekly frequency. We then test whether the demand and supply side components of steam coal trade are consistently integrated with one another. In addition, export and import prices as well as freight rates for individual trading routes, across regions and globally are combined. We find evidence of significant yet incomplete integration. We also find heterogeneous short-term dynamics of individual markets. Furthermore, we examine whether logistics enter coal price dynamics through transportation costs, which are mainly determined by oil prices. Our results suggest that this is generally not the case.
Keywords: Steam coal; market integration; multivariate cointegration (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C22 L11 Q41 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 21 p.
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Journal Article: The globalization of steam coal markets and the role of logistics: An empirical analysis (2012)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:diw:diwwpp:dp956
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