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The EU Emissions Trading Scheme: Disentangling the Effects of Industrial Production and CO2 Emissions on Carbon Prices

Emilie Alberola, Benoît Chèze () and Julien Chevallier

No 2008-12, EconomiX Working Papers from University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX

Abstract: This article critically examines the impact of industrial production for sectors covered by the EU Emissions Trading Scheme (EU ETS) on emissions allowance spot prices during Phase I (2005-2007). Using sector production indices and CO2 emissions compliance positions dened by a ratio of allowance allocation relative to baseline emissions, we show that the effect of industrial activity on EU carbon price changes shall be analysed in conjunction with production peaks and compliance net short/long positions at the sector level. The results extend previous literature by showing that carbon price changes react not only to energy prices forecast errors and extreme temperatures events, but also to industrial production in three sectors covered by the EU ETS: combustion, paper and iron.

Keywords: EU ETS; Emissions Trading; Carbon Pricing; CO2 Emissions; Industrial Production (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: L11 L16 Q48 Q54 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 37 pages
Date: 2008
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-eec, nep-ene and nep-env
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:drm:wpaper:2008-12

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