Fiscal Policy Reaction to the Cycle in the OECD: Pro- or Counter-cyclical?
No 2012-12, EconomiX Working Papers from University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX
This paper analyses the reaction of fiscal policy to the cycle in OECD countries. The results suggest that while overall government balances were counter-cyclical in the past and more so in economic downturns than in upswings, discretionary fiscal policy was neutral on average. However, discretionary fiscal policy appears to react to the cycle in a non-linear fashion: fiscal policy in countries with high public debt and high government deficits tends to be pro-cyclical, while countries that have low public debt and that have surpluses are more likely to conduct a counter-cyclical fiscal policy. The paper also finds that asset prices have a significant impact on government balances.
Keywords: Fiscal policy; pro-cyclicality, counter-cyclicality, OECD countries (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E32 E62 H30 H60 C33 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 43 pages
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-mac
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Journal Article: Fiscal policy reaction to the cycle in the OECD: pro- or counter-cyclical? (2014)
Working Paper: Fiscal Policy Reaction to the Cycle in the OECD: Pro- or Counter-Cyclical? (2012)
Working Paper: Fiscal Policy Reaction to the Cycle in the OECD: Pro- or Counter-cyclical? (2010)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:drm:wpaper:2012-12
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