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Shipping Trade and Geopolitical Turmoils: The Case of the Ukrainian Maritime Network

Marc-Antoine Faure, Bárbara Polo Martin, Fabio Cremaschini and César Ducruet

No 2024-24, EconomiX Working Papers from University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX

Abstract: Conflicts, whether political, commercial or military, affect transport networks. Operators seek to avoid the most tense areas or reconsider certain routes. Certain links can be disrupted in case of local geopolitical tensions, which can have a significant global impact. The article is devoted to studying Ukraine’s maritime network and identifying changes in these structures because of the conflict that started in 2014. The purpose of the paper is to measure and visualise the main changes in the Ukrainian seaport system and maritime forelands from 2010 until the most recent data available (December 2023), from a network models, bilateral trade and route simulation framework. The principal results confirm the huge impact of military conflict on port connectivity, thereby contributing to the recent literature on shipping network vulnerability.

Keywords: Black Sea; Complex networks; Shipping Trade; Russian-Ukrainian War (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F14 F51 L91 R40 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 77 pages
Date: 2024
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cis, nep-int, nep-mac, nep-net and nep-tre
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:drm:wpaper:2024-24

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