Temper and Temperature: The Missing Link of Climate on Armed Conflicts

Mehdi Shiva and Andrzej Kwiatkowski

No 282, Dundee Discussion Papers in Economics from Economic Studies, University of Dundee

Abstract: We investigate the causes of an internal conflict by adding ambient climate factors to the existing bundle of most significant variables. It turns out that – controlling for possible associations – temperature could actually induce a conflict. We emphasise that temperature could not be a dominant reason in starting a conflict; however, it could escalate the chances when other factors are present. This paper mentions some of the related psychological studies to support this claim. We also show that grievance factors could actually be rightfully effective in starting an internal conflict alongside greed based reasons. In the end, we believe that it could be constructive to study ambient factors more often in economics.

Keywords: conflict; civil war; onset of conlict; internal armed conflict; climate; temperature (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D74 H56 Q34 Q54 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 42 pages
Date: 2014-12
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-env
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Working Paper: Temper and Temperature: The Missing Link of Climate on Armed Conflicts (2014)
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