Modelizacion del transporte maritimo internacional

Isidro Frias and Maria-Carmen Guisan

Economic Development from University of Santiago de Compostela. Faculty of Economics and Business. Econometrics.

Abstract: En este trabajo se analiza, mediante modelos econometricos, la evolucion en el periodo 1973-92 de las principales variables relativas a los mercados maritimos: comercio maritimo mundial, flota, precio de los fletes, volumen de flota varada y desguazada, y volumen y precio de las nuevas unidades. La presentacion de la senda temporal seguida por estas variables se efectua a traves de numerosos graficos que son acompañadas por abundantes comentarios a los mismos. Por ultimo se analiza la evolucion del comercio maritimo internacional y de la flota en el periodo1987-1999 y se comenta alguna bibliografia seleccionada relacionada con las caracteristicas de este sector economico.

This paper presents an analysis of the main variables related to international maritime transport in periods 1965-92 and 1987-99, including a bibliographic revision of some of the main econometric models and the models elaborated by the authors for the period 1973-92. These models present equations regarding international trade, fleet, prices and other related variables, both for dry cargo and oil markets. An abridged English version of this document is presented with other international econometric models, in the book by Guisan and Frias (2003), cited in the bibliography.

JEL-codes: C51 F1 F18 L9 L92 N7 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 35 pages
Date: 2002
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eaa:ecodev:57

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