Climate Change Assessments: Confidence, Probability and Decision
Brian Hill (),
Richard Bradley and
Casey Helgeson
No 1131, HEC Research Papers Series from HEC Paris
Abstract:
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change has developed a novel framework for assessing and communicating uncertainty in the findings published in their periodic assessment reports. But how should these uncertainty assessments inform decisions? We take a formal decision-making perspective to investigate how scientific input formulated in the IPCC's novel framework might inform decisions in a principled way through a normative decision model.
Keywords: climate; change; confidence (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 28 pages
Date: 2016-01-28
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ebg:heccah:1131
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