From Rebellion to Electoral Violence. Evidence from Burundi

Andrea Colombo, Olivia D'Aoust and Olivier Sterck

Working Papers ECARES from ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles

Abstract: We aim at understanding the triggers of electoral violence, which spoiled 80% ofelections in Africa during the last decades. We focus on Burundi, a country wherepolls were organized in 2010, only few months after the end of a long-lasting civilwar. We find that an acute polarization between ex-rebels’ groups is highly conduciveto electoral violence. In particular, we predict a five-fold increase in electoralviolence between the lowest- and highest-polarized municipality. However, neitherethnic nor political cleavages significantly determine such electoral malpractices.These results are robust to numerous specifications. We therefore argue that policiessupporting the transition of ex-rebel groups from warfare to the political arenashould be reinforced.

Keywords: civil war; electoral violence; polarization; demobilization; burundi (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D74 O11 O17 O55 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 45 p.
Date: 2014-07
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-afr, nep-cdm and nep-pol
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (6)

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Related works:
Working Paper: From Rebellion to Electoral Violence: Evidence from Burundi (2014)
Working Paper: From Rebellion to Electoral Violence: Evidence from Burundi (2014)
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